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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ENTSO-E\u81ea&nbsp;2020\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u5176\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u6d41\u7a0b\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u7684\u6539\u52a8\uff0c\u4ee5\u5b8c\u5584\u77ed \u671f\u7535\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u88d5\u5ea6\u7684\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u5728\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7684\u9f13\u52b1\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\uff0cENTSO-E\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4f18\u5316 \u4e86\u5176\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u80fd\u591f\u9002\u5e94\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u6e17\u900f\u7387\u9ad8\u7684\u7535\u7f51\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u4e0d\u518d\u4ee5\u5468\u4e3a\u6700\u5c0f\u5206\u6790\u5355\u4f4d\u505a\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6362\u6210\u4e86\u4ee5\u8499 \u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u6cd5\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u6982\u7387\u5206\u6790\u7684\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u62df\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0cENTSO-E\u4e5f\u5f00\u59cb\u5c06\u5e38\u53d8 \u7684\u5929\u6c14\u60c5\u51b5\u7eb3\u5165\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u5206\u6790\u8303\u7574\u4e4b\u5185\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6539\u52a8\u6709\u6548\u5229\u7528\u4e86ENTSO-E\u7ba1\u7406\u7684&nbsp;\u201c\u6cdb\u6b27\u6c14\u5019 \u6570\u636e\u5e93\u201d&nbsp;(Pan-European Climate Database)\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u6b27\u9646\u5404\u5904\u5149\u4f0f\u548c\u98ce\u7535\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6 \u53d1\u529b\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u4f8b\u5b50\u4e2d\u7684\u673a\u6784\u8bbe\u7f6e\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u6cbf\u88ad\u90fd\u4e0d\u5c3d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u5b9e\u65bd\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u6709\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u70b9\u5171\u901a\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u9488\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u76d1\u7ba1\u90e8\u95e8\u5728\u5404\u7ea7\u8bbe\u7f6e\u660e\u786e\u5206\u5de5:\u7531\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784 \u8d1f\u8d23\u5c55\u671b\u673a\u5236\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u76d1\u7ba1\u548c\u6d41\u7a0b\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u533a\u57df\u6027\u80fd\u6e90\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u6216\u7535\u7f51\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d1f\u8d23\u5177\u4f53\u5b9e\u65bd\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u76f8\u5173\u7edf\u8ba1\u3001\u5206\u6790\u3001\u548c\u516c\u5f00\u53d1\u5e03\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u76d1\u7ba1\u90e8\u95e8\u6709\u6743\u5229\u5bf9\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u8bc4\u4f30\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6240\u9700\u5bb9\u91cf\u5145\u88d5\u5ea6\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u53ca\u516c\u5f00\u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u51fa\u6574\u6539\u610f\u89c1\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u53ef\u4ee5\u8981\u6c42\u76f8\u5173\u5b9e\u65bd\u673a\u6784\u7edf\u4e00\u66f4\u65b0\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u524d\u6cbf\u7684\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6bb5\u5c06\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u7eb3\u5165\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u6d41\u7a0b\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5173\u4e8e\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b9a\u671f\u53d1\u5e03\u533a\u57df\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u51e0\u70b9\u89c2\u5bdf<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5c31\u786e\u4fdd\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5f00\u5c55\u4e86\u5353\u6709\u6210\u6548\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u30022022\u5e74\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4\u548c\u80fd\u6e90 \u5c40\u5148\u540e\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u300a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u529e\u6cd5(\u6682\u884c)\u300b\u4ee5\u53ca\u300a\u5173\u4e8e\u52a0\u5f3a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684 \u610f\u89c1\u300b\u4e24\u90e8\u91cd\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u6587\u4ef6[10]\uff0c\u4e3a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u5b9d\u8d35\u7684\u601d\u8def\u548c\u5b9e\u65bd\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b63\u5982\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5185\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u673a\u5236\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u589e\u5f3a\u7cfb\u7edf 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u653f\u7b56\u6587\u4ef6\u4e2d\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5236\u5b9a\u5e76\u516c\u5f00\u6b64\u7c7b\u7535\u529b\u89c4\u5212\u5728\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf \u5b89\u5168\u8f6c\u578b\u4e2d\u8d77\u5230\u7684\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u300a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u529e\u6cd5(\u6682\u884c)\u300b\u4e2d\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u201c\u5404\u7ea7\u80fd\u6e90\u7ba1\u7406\u90e8\u95e8\u5e94\u5f53\u79d1\u5b66\u5236\u5b9a\u5e76\u9002\u65f6\u8c03\u6574\u7535\u529b\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u914d\u7f6e\u5404\u79cd \u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u7535\u6e90\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u7edf\u7b79\u5b89\u6392\u5907\u7528\u5bb9\u91cf\u201d\u3002\u8be5\u6587\u4ef6\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u5e9c\u673a\u6784\u5e94\u5b9a 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6587\u4ef6\u4e3a\u51fa\u53d1\u70b9\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u5728\u5404\u533a\u57df\u5efa\u7acb\u5e38\u89c4\u5b63\u5ea6\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b \u5b63\u5ea6\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u5e94\u53d1\u5e03\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5e76\u516c\u5f00\u62a5\u544a\u6240\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u539f\u59cb\u6570\u636e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u6027\u89c4 \u5212\u7a0b\u5e8f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ef\u4ee5\u52a9\u529b\u8fce\u5cf0\u5ea6\u590f(\u51ac)\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u63d0\u65e9\u53d1\u73b0\u533a\u57df\u5185\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u9690\u60a3;\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u8003 \u91cf\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b\u5bf9\u533a\u57df\u5185\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5b9a\u671f\u516c\u5e03\u8fd9\u4e9b \u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u53ca\u793e\u4f1a\u8d44\u672c\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u89c4\u5212\u6295\u8d44[11]\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/enhancing-power-reliability-eu-and-us-explore-new-process-to-improve-seasonal-power-reliability-outlooks\/\">\u539f\u6587<\/a>\u53d1\u8868\u4e8eRegulatory Assistance Project \uff0c2022\u5e7412\u670809\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6ce8\u91ca<\/strong>:<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[1]&nbsp;\u5728\u4e4b\u524d\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u91cc\uff0cRAP\u66fe\u4ecb\u7ecd\u8fc7\u5b63\u5ea6\u201c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u89c4\u5212\u201d\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\u6240\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u201c\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\u201d&nbsp;\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u770b\u4f5c\u201c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u89c4\u5212\u201c\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u5b63\u5ea6\u201c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u89c4\u5212\u201d\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u8be6\u89c1\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a \u5e93.(2021).\u300a\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u2013\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u89c4\u5212\u300b, https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/rap- resource-adequacy-planning-memo\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[2]&nbsp;\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6eda\u52a8\u5468\u671f\u4e3a\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u4f1a\u57282023\u5e74\u8fdb\u884c2023-2028\u5e74\u7684\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff0c\u5728&nbsp;2024\u5e74\u4f1a\u8fdb\u884c2024-2029\u5e74\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[3]&nbsp;\u53ef\u89c1\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93\u5bf92021\u5e74\u5f97\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u80fd\u6e90\u5371\u673a\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\uff0c \u9996\u520a\u4e8e\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u62a5\u300b\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff0chttps:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/tfq0OS95NKm498g7qJQHmQ<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[4]&nbsp;\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u89c1FERC. (2022, October).&nbsp;<em>2022-2023 Winter Assessment<\/em>. https:\/\/www.ferc.gov\/media\/report-2022-2023- winter-assessment<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[5]&nbsp;NPCC&nbsp;\u662fNERC&nbsp;\u4e0b\u5c5e\u7684\u4e03\u4e2a\u533a\u57df\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002NPCC. (2022, November).&nbsp;<em>Seasonal Assessment.&nbsp;<\/em>Accessed November 21, 2022. https:\/\/www.npcc.org\/library\/reports\/seasonal-assessment<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[6]&nbsp;\u8be6\u89c1&nbsp;Stenclik, D. (2021).&nbsp;<em>Redefining Resource Adequacy for Modern Power Systems<\/em>. Energy Systems Integration Group. https:\/\/www.esig.energy\/reports-briefs<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[7]&nbsp;Regulation (EU) 2019\/941 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 5 June 2019 on risk-preparedness in the electricity sector and repealing Directive 2005\/89\/EC<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[8]&nbsp;ENTSO-E. (2022).&nbsp;<em>Winter Outlook Report 2022-2023.&nbsp;<\/em>https:\/\/www.entsoe.eu\/outlooks\/seasonal\/&nbsp;9&nbsp;ENTSO-E Transparency Platform. (2015). https:\/\/transparency.entsoe.eu\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[9]&nbsp;ENTSO-E Transparency Platform. (2015). https:\/\/transparency.entsoe.eu\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[10]&nbsp;\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4. (2022.4).\u300a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u529e\u6cd5(\u6682\u884c)\u300b. https:\/\/www.ndrc.gov.cn\/xxgk\/zcfb\/fzggwl\/202204\/t20220424_1322795.html?code=&amp;state=123\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40. (2022.11).\u300a\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40\u7efc\u5408\u53f8\u516c\u5f00\u5f81\u6c42&lt;\u5173\u4e8e\u52a0\u5f3a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u610f\u89c1(\u5f81\u6c42\u610f\u89c1\u7a3f)&gt;&nbsp;\u610f\u89c1\u7684\u901a\u77e5\u300b. http:\/\/www.nea.gov.cn\/2022-11\/02\/c_1310672480.htm<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[11]&nbsp;\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u6709\u505a\u8fc7\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8981\u6c42\u3002\u6839\u636e\u300a\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7ba1\u7406\u529e\u6cd5\u300b\u4e2d\u7b2c\u4e94\u5341\u4e09\u6761\uff0c\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40\u8d1f \u8d23&#8230;\u53d1\u5e03\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u6307\u6807\u548c\u7535\u529b\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u76d1\u7ba1\u62a5\u544a\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u4e8eRegulatory Assistance Project\uff082022-12-09\uff09\u3002 \u4f5c\u8005\uff1aMax Dupuy\uff0c\u9ad8\u9a70<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"template":"","emt-news-type":[],"class_list":["post-1869","emt-news","type-emt-news","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - 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