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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u6539\u9769\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u533a\u57df\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9650\u65b9\u9762\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u7279\u70b9\u3002\u5c71\u4e1c\u7701\u7387\u5148\u5141\u8bb8\u5c06\u5e02\u573a\u7535\u80fd\u91cf\u7533\u62a5\u548c\u51fa\u6e05\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u7701\u7ea7\u548c\u533a\u57df\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u5747\u5927\u4e8e\u7b49\u4e8e\u96f6\uff08\u5176\u4e2d\u7518\u8083\u7701\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e3a<strong>0.4<\/strong>\u5143\/<strong>kWh<\/strong>\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u666e\u904d\u4e3a<strong>0<\/strong>\u5143\/<strong>kWh<\/strong>\uff09[4]\u3002\u5404\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e5f\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7518\u8083\u7701\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u8f83\u4f4e\u4e3a<strong>0.65<\/strong>\u5143\/<strong>kWh<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e7f\u4e1c\u3001\u5c71\u897f\u3001\u5c71\u4e1c\u7b49\u7701\u4efd\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u4e3a<strong>1.5<\/strong>\u5143\/<strong>kWh<\/strong>\uff0c\u8499\u897f\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7533\u62a5\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e3a<strong>5.18<\/strong>\u5143\/<strong>kWh<\/strong>[5]\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u9009\u53d6\u5141\u8bb8\u8d1f\u7535\u4ef7\u7684\u5c71\u4e1c\u7701\u548c\u4e0a\u9650\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u8499\u897f\u5e02\u573a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u66f4\u5bbd\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u5bf9\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u6709\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8499\u897f\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u53d1\u6325\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u5f15\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u6fc0\u52b1\u673a\u7ec4\u9876\u5cf0\u53d1\u7535\u3002\u8499\u897f\u5e02\u573a\u6ca1\u6709\u901a\u8fc7\u538b\u4f4e\u51fa\u6e05\u4e0a\u9650\u6765\u63a7\u5236\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7ed3\u7b97\u73af\u8282\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e86\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u9632\u8303\u673a\u5236[6]\u3002\u5728\u8499\u897f\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u9ad8\u9650\u4ef7\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u5e74\u8bd5\u8fd0\u884c\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f9b\u5e94\u7d27\u5f20\u65f6\u6bb5\u5b9e\u9645\u589e\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7<strong>1<\/strong>\u4ebf\u5343\u74e6\u65f6\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u6548\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u6709\u5e8f\u7528\u7535\u60c5\u51b5[7]\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c71\u4e1c\u7701\u62e5\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u53d1\u7535\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u8d1f\u7535\u4ef7\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u4e86\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u5c55\u5bf9\u4f20\u7edf\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u6d88\u7eb3\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u7535\u3001\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6e05\u6d01\u8f6c\u578b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u65e9\u5728<strong>2019<\/strong>\u5e74\uff0c\u5c71\u4e1c\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u65e5\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u9996\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86<strong>-40<\/strong>\u5143\/<strong>MWh<\/strong>\u7684\u51fa\u6e05\u4ef7\u683c[8]\u3002\u6b64\u540e\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u5c71\u4e1c\u7701\u7684\u53d1\u7535\u4fa7\u552e\u7535\u4ef7\u683c\u9891\u7e41\u51fa\u73b0\u8d1f\u4ef7\u5e76\u89e6\u53ca\u201c\u5730\u677f\u4ef7\u201d\u3002\u201c\u5730\u677f\u4ef7\u201d\u7684\u9891\u7e41\u53d1\u751f\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5c71\u4e1c\u7701\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u8fd8\u6709\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u62d3\u5bbd\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u6765\u66f4\u5145\u5206\u5730\u53d1\u6325\u4ef7\u683c\u673a\u5236\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\u3001\u8c03\u52a8\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7\u5bf9\u8fc7\u5269\u7535\u91cf\u7684\u5229\u7528\uff0c\u5e76\u523a\u6fc0\u50a8\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5cf0\u8c37\u4ef7\u5dee\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5404\u533a\u57df\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7518\u8083\u5e73\u5747\u5cf0\u8c37\u4ef7\u5dee\u5747\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc7<strong>0.38<\/strong>\u5143\/\u5343\u74e6\u65f6\u3002\u8499\u897f\u7684\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u8f83\u5f3a\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u5cf0\u8c37\u4ef7\u5dee\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fbe\u5230<strong>0.83<\/strong>\u5143\/\u5343\u74e6\u65f6\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u843d\u5dee\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u50a8\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55[9]\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>3. \u5e7f\u6cdb\u501f\u9274\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6311\u6218<\/strong> <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b27\u7f8e\u7b49\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u63a2\u8ba8\u548c\u8bd5\u9519\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5404\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6211\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5177\u6709\u501f\u9274\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u6b27\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u672c\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u9650\u4f5c\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u666e\u904d\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\u3002\u56fe1\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u56fd\u5185\u90e8\u5206\u7701\u7ea7\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u90e8\u5206\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\uff08<strong>CAISO<\/strong>\u3001<strong>ERCOT<\/strong>\uff09\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\uff08<strong>Nord Pool<\/strong>\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\uff08<strong>AEMC<\/strong>\uff09\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6d77\u5916\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5b9e\u884c\u4e86\u8f83\u4e3a\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u80fd\u6e90\u76d1\u7ba1\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08<strong>the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission<\/strong>, <strong>FERC<\/strong>\uff09\u4e3a\u52a0\u5dde\u72ec\u7acb\u7cfb\u7edf\u8fd0\u8425\u5546\uff08<strong>the California Independent System Operator<\/strong>, <strong>CAISO<\/strong>\uff09\u5730\u533a\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7533\u62a5\u4ef7\u683c\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86<strong>$1000\/MWh<\/strong>\u7684\u201c\u8f6f\u4e0a\u9650\u201d\uff08<strong>Soft Cap<\/strong>\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e3a\u897f\u90e8\u7535\u529b\u534f\u8c03\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08<strong>Western Electricity Coordinating Council, WECC<\/strong>\uff09\u7684\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9500\u552e\u4ef7\u683c\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86<strong>$1000\/MWh<\/strong>\u7684\u8f6f\u4e0a\u9650\u3002\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u8f6f\u4e0a\u9650\u201d\uff0c\u662f\u6307\u5e02\u573a\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u5141\u8bb8\u7533\u62a5\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u9500\u552e\u4ef7\u683c\u8d85\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u6c42\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d85\u51fa\u4e0a\u9650\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u63d0\u4f9b\u5408\u7406\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8981\u6c42\u9000\u6b3e[10]\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u63aa\u65bd\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5141\u8bb8\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u8d85\u51fa\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u5728\u6fc0\u52b1\u65b0\u8d44\u6e90\u8fdb\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u514d\u53d7\u6f5c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u91cf\u6ee5\u7528\u4e24\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6743\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"989\" height=\"555\" src=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1901\" title=\"\u56fe 1. \u591a\u56fd\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u6bd4\u8f83[11]\" srcset=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-1.png 989w, https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-1-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-1-768x431.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 989px) 100vw, 989px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u56fe 1. \u591a\u56fd\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u6bd4\u8f83[11]<br>\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u843d\u57fa\u5c71\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff0cCAISO, ERCOT, Nord Pool\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caAEMC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u653e\u5f00\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u7684\u524d\u7f6e\u6761\u4ef6\u662f\u786e\u4fdd\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\u80fd\u591f\u826f\u597d\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4fe1\u53f7\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u4f20\u9012\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5927\u7535\u91cf\u7528\u6237\u548c\u53d1\u7535\u4f01\u4e1a\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u53bb\u5e94\u5bf9\u66f4\u5e7f\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9650\u4e0e\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u573a\u4f9b\u9700\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u653e\u5bbd\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u9700\u9996\u5148\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u76d1\u6d4b\u548c\u89c4\u907f\u5e02\u573a\u64cd\u63a7\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4ee5\u8425\u9020\u516c\u5e73\u4e14\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u56e0\u6ee5\u7528\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u9020\u6210\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8[12]\u3002\u76f8\u5173\u63aa\u65bd\u5305\u62ec\u5efa\u7acb\u673a\u5236\u6536\u96c6\u53d1\u7535\u673a\u7ec4\u8fd0\u884c\u6210\u672c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3001\u52a0\u5f3a\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4fa7\u7ade\u4e89\u3001\u5b9e\u65bd\u66f4\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u7b5b\u9009\u548c\u6291\u5236\u673a\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u5185\u5bb9\u5c06\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u7ae0\u8be6\u7ec6\u9610\u660e\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. <strong>\u52a0\u5f3a\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u76d1\u7ba1\uff0c\u4e3a\u6539\u9769\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907<\/strong> <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u653e\u5f00\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u5e73\u4e14\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4ef7\u683c\u4fe1\u53f7\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u4f20\u9012\u5e76\u53cd\u6620\u771f\u5b9e\u4f9b\u9700\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0e\u7535\u529b\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u8fd0\u884c\u7684\u6b63\u5e38\u7ed3\u679c\u800c\u975e\u7531\u4eba\u4e3a\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u64cd\u63a7\u9020\u6210\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\uff0c\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u7ade\u4e89\u4e0d\u8db3\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u64cd\u7eb5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5904\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u521d\u671f\u7684\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u7535\u529b\u77ed\u7f3a\u548c\u8f93\u7535\u7cfb\u7edf\u963b\u585e\u65f6\u5c06\u66f4\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4f8b[13]\uff0c <strong>FERC<\/strong>\u8981\u6c42\u6bcf\u4e2a\u533a\u57df\u8f93\u7535\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08<strong>Regional Transmission Organizations<\/strong>\uff0c<strong>RTO<\/strong>\uff09\u5236\u5b9a\u5e02\u573a\u76d1\u6d4b\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u5185\u5bb9\u662f\u53d1\u7535\u673a\u7ec4\u53c2\u8003\u6210\u672c\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5206\u6790\u5e02\u573a\u662f\u5426\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u662f\u5426\u6709\u53d1\u7535\u5546\u5728\u884c\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3001\u8c03\u5ea6\u6709\u6548\u6027\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u95ee\u9898\u5b9a\u671f\u5f00\u5c55\u516c\u5f00\u8bc4\u8bba\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c<strong>FERC<\/strong>\u8981\u6c42\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u89c4\u6a21\uff08\u63a7\u5236\u8d85\u8fc7<strong>500MW<\/strong>\uff09\u7684\u53d1\u7535\u5546\u63d0\u4ea4\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u83b7\u5f97\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u6279\u53d1\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a \u201c\u57fa\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u201d\u6743\u529b\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f9b\u7535\u5546\u6ca1\u6709\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u5219\u53ea\u80fd\u6309\u7167\u201c\u57fa\u4e8e\u6210\u672c\u201d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u62a5\u4ef7\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u8bc1\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u8c03\u5ea6\u8fd0\u884c\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\uff0c\u5728<strong>FERC<\/strong>\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u548c\u5ba1\u67e5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u7684<strong>RTO<\/strong>\u5728\u65e5\u524d\u548c\u5b9e\u65f6\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5747\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u81ea\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u7b5b\u9009\u548c\u7f13\u89e3\u673a\u5236\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd1\u671f\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6587\u4ef6\u4e5f\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u91cd\u89c6\u30022024\u5e7412\u670820\u65e5\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u6539\u9769\u59d4\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c40\u5370\u53d1\u4e86\u300a\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u8c03\u8282\u80fd\u529b\u4f18\u5316\u4e13\u9879\u884c\u52a8\u5b9e\u65bd\u65b9\u6848\uff082025\u20142027 \u5e74\uff09\u300b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u8981\u4e3a\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u8fd0\u884c\u5730\u533a\u201c\u79d1\u5b66\u8bbe\u7f6e\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9650\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u5f62\u6210\u5408\u7406\u5cf0\u8c37\u4ef7\u5dee\u2026\u2026\u201d\uff0c\u70b9\u660e\u4e86\u7531\u5e02\u573a\u5f15\u5bfc\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u7ba1\u63a7\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5185\u5728\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u7701\u7ea7\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u9010\u6b65\u5f00\u5c55\u4e86\u6709\u76ca\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5e7f\u4e1c\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u68c0\u6d4b\u53ca\u7f13\u89e3\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u68c0\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3001\u5f71\u54cd\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u76f8\u5173\u8bf4\u660e\uff1b\u5c71\u4e1c\u5bf9\u53c2\u4e0e\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u6240\u5360\u5e02\u573a\u4efd\u989d\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u89c4\u5b9a\uff0c\u5e76\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u5236\u7b49\u3002\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u884c\u4e1a\u96c6\u4e2d\u5ea6\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u53d1\u5c55\u6b65\u5165\u5173\u952e\u671f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u98ce\u9669\u4e5f\u4f1a\u66f4\u52a0\u51f8\u663e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5e94\u5728\u5730\u533a\u5b9e\u8df5\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6df1\u5316\u548c\u6269\u5c55\uff0c\u5728\u5168\u56fd\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u8d2f\u5f7b\u843d\u5b9e\u300a\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u76d1\u7ba1\u529e\u6cd5\u300b[14]\uff0c\u5bf9\u53d1\u7535\u8fd0\u884c\u6210\u672c\u5206\u6790\u3001\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u76d1\u6d4b\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u7b5b\u9009\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u6291\u5236\u505a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u89c4\u8303\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f62\u6210\u516c\u5e73\u3001\u9ad8\u6548\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u8fc8\u5165\u5173\u952e\u53d1\u5c55\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u4e3a\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5e02\u573a\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u6709\u5e8f\u5730\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u9f13\u52b1\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u5165\u5e02\uff0c\u5145\u5206\u8c03\u52a8\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5e94\u8003\u8651\u5bf9\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u5236\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u5b8c\u5584\u5e02\u573a\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u6709\u6548\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u53ef\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u9632\u8303\u5e02\u573a\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u5f3a\u5316\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u529b\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\uff0c\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u900f\u660e\u3001\u516c\u5e73\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\u6765\u786e\u4fdd\u4ef7\u683c\u4fe1\u53f7\u5f97\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u4f20\u9012\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u5316\u3002\u5f53\u7136\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u73af\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u6301\u7eed\u5728\u5408\u7406\u5316\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u5408\u540c\u5e02\u573a\u3001\u52a0\u5feb\u96f6\u552e\u5e02\u573a\u5efa\u8bbe\u3001\u63a8\u8fdb\u5bb9\u91cf\u548c\u8f85\u52a9\u670d\u52a1\u5e02\u573a\u4e0e\u7535\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u534f\u540c\u53d1\u5c55\u7b49\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u534f\u540c\u5171\u8fdb\uff0c\u5b8c\u5584\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u53d1\u73b0\u548c\u4f20\u9012\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u201c\u7edf\u4e00\u5f00\u653e\u3001\u7ade\u4e89\u6709\u5e8f\u201d\u7684\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4f53\u7cfb\u5efa\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u672c\u6587\u6700\u521d\u53d1\u5e03\u4e8e<a href=\"https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/dr-in-capacity-market\/\">\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93\u7f51\u7ad9<\/a>\uff08\u4ee5\u53ca<a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/yNIoEObMsxgnmn-tYKCgZA\">\u7535\u8054\u65b0\u5a92<\/a>\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6ce8\u91ca<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>[1] \u611f\u8c22\u9648\u6676\u76c8\u3001\u9ad8\u9a70\u3001\u738b\u8f69\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f55\u67ad\u5bf9\u672c\u6587\u64b0\u5199\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u8bf8\u591a\u6709\u5efa\u8bbe\u6027\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u3002<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[2] \u8d75\u8d8a\uff0c\u5218\u601d\u6377\u7b49 (2023). \u56fd\u5916\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u8bbe\u7f6e\u65b9\u6cd5\u7efc\u8ff0[J]. \u7535\u529b\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7\u7ba1\u7406, 2023,25(3):111-116.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[3] \u5173\u4e8e\u8d1f\u7535\u4ef7\u66f4\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u8bf7\u53c2\u9605\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93(2023).\u201c\u8d1f\u7535\u4ef7\u201d\u91ca\u653e\u4e86\u54ea\u4e9b\u4fe1\u53f7 \u2014\u8bbf\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93\u9879\u76ee\u4e3b\u4efbMax Dupuy. \u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u529b\u62a5. <a href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/gpU9K9uk2AbFS6HcrgsYuw\">https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s\/gpU9K9uk2AbFS6HcrgsYuw<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[4] \u6b64\u5904\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u5168\u56fd\u5404\u7701\u7ea7\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9650\u53c2\u8003\u9648\u6893\u6d69, \u9ad8\u7855\u7b49(2023) 2024\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u6539\u9769\u4e0e\u7535\u4ef7\u4f53\u7cfb\u6d1e\u5bdf\uff1a\u9762\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u5341\u5927\u8d8b\u52bf. \u843d\u57fa\u5c71\u7814\u7a76\u6240(RMI). <a href=\"https:\/\/rmi.org.cn\/insights\/2024powermarketreviewandoutlook\/\">https:\/\/rmi.org.cn\/insights\/2024powermarketreviewandoutlook\/<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[5] \u8499\u897f\u73b0\u8d27\u4ee5\u5185\u8499\u53e4\u5355\u4f4d\u7528\u7535\u91cfGDP\u4ea7\u51fa\uff085.18\u5143\/kWh\uff09\u4e3a\u73b0\u8d27\u4e0a\u9650\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u5373\u4ee5\u201c\u5931\u8d1f\u8377\u4ef7\u503c\u201d\uff0c \u8bbe\u7f6e\u4ef7\u683c\u9650\u503c\u3002\u76f8\u5173\u8ba8\u8bba\u8be6\u89c1\u8499\u897f\u7834\u51b0\u201c\u53cc\u8f68\u5236\u201d \u53d1\u7528\u7535\u5168\u9762\u5165\u5e02. \u7535\u8054\u65b0\u5a92. (2022). <a href=\"https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20220915\/1255190.shtml\">https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20220915\/1255190.shtml<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[6] \u8499\u897f\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u653f\u5e9c\u5e72\u9884\u4ee5\u53d1\u7535\u4fa7\u3001\u7528\u6237\u4fa7\u3001\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u6574\u4f53\u98ce\u9669\u9632\u8303\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u5199\u5728\u7ed3\u7b97\u89c4\u5219\u91cc\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8d39\u7528\u6b63\u5e38\u5411\u4e3b\u4f53\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u5c06\u89e6\u53d1\u98ce\u9669\u9632\u8303\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u6574\u3002 \u76f8\u5173\u8ba8\u8bba\u76f8\u89c1\u7fc1\u723d. (2022). \u4e13\u8bbf | \u5f20\u7c92\u5b50\uff1a\u201c\u6709\u6548\u5e02\u573a\u201d\u548c\u201c\u6709\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u201d\u534f\u540c\u53d1\u529b\u7684\u8499\u897f\u5b9e\u8df5\u6837\u672c. \u7535\u8054\u65b0\u5a92. <a href=\"https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20220916\/1255452.shtml\">https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20220916\/1255452.shtml<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[7] \u805a\u7126\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u8499\u897f\u6a21\u5f0f\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u5148\u8bd5\u5148\u884c\uff01\u8499\u897f\u2018\u5355\u8f68\u5236\u2019\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u957f\u5468\u671f\u5f00\u8dd1\u201d . \u7535\u8054\u65b0\u5a92 (2022). <a href=\"https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20220803\/1245922.shtml\">https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20220803\/1245922.shtml<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[8] \u6768\u6653\u5189 \u82cf\u5357(2023). \u201c\u8d1f\u7535\u4ef7\u201d\u4e0d\u662f\u201c\u72fc\u6765\u4e86\u201d\uff1a\u4e1a\u5185\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e00\u81f4\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u8d1f\u7535\u4ef7\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u5e38\u6001. \u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u62a5. <a href=\"http:\/\/paper.people.com.cn\/zgnyb\/html\/202305\/15\/content_25987334.htm\">http:\/\/paper.people.com.cn\/zgnyb\/html\/202305\/15\/content_25987334.htm<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[9] \u5218\u6625\u9633, \u95eb\u946b. (2024). \u6df1\u5165\u8ba4\u8bc6\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u201d. \u7535\u8054\u65b0\u5a92. <a href=\"https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20240621\/1384564.shtml\">https:\/\/m.bjx.com.cn\/mnews\/20240621\/1384564.shtml<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[10] FERC. Staff Guidance on WECC Soft Price Cap. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ferc.gov\/power-sales-and-markets\/staff-guidance-wecc-soft-price-cap\">https:\/\/www.ferc.gov\/power-sales-and-markets\/staff-guidance-wecc-soft-price-cap<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[11] \u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u533a\u57df\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u53c2\u8003\u540c4. \u56fd\u9645\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u63092024\u5e741\u67086\u65e5\u6c47\u7387\u6362\u7b97\u6210\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8868\u793a\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u5dde\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a(CAISO)\u4ef7\u683c\u53c2\u8003<a href=\"https:\/\/www.caiso.com\/Documents\/BPM_for_MarketInstruments_Attachment_P_DRAFT.pdf\">https:\/\/www.caiso.com\/Documents\/BPM_for_MarketInstruments_Attachment_P_DRAFT.pdf<\/a> . \u7f8e\u56fd\u5f97\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a(ERCOT)\u4ef7\u683c\u53c2\u8003<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/special\/supplements\/2022\/2022_sp_03.pdf\">https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/special\/supplements\/2022\/2022_sp_03.pdf<\/a> . \u6b27\u6d32\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a(Nord Pool)\u4ef7\u683c\u53c2\u8003<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nordpoolgroup.com\/en\/trading\/Operational-Message-List\/2022\/04\/day-ahead-new-harmonised-maximum-clearing-price-from-delivery-daywednesday-11th-may-20220411122700\/\">https:\/\/www.nordpoolgroup.com\/en\/trading\/Operational-Message-List\/2022\/04\/day-ahead-new-harmonised-maximum-clearing-price-from-delivery-daywednesday-11th-may-20220411122700\/<\/a> . \u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a(AEMC)\u4ef7\u683c\u53c2\u8003<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aemc.gov.au\/news-centre\/media-releases\/2024-25-market-price-capnow-available\">https:\/\/www.aemc.gov.au\/news-centre\/media-releases\/2024-25-market-price-capnow-available<\/a>. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[12] \u5173\u4e8e\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u66f4\u8be6\u7ec6\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u8bf7\u53c2\u9605Max Dupuy, \u738b\u8f69, Fredrich Kahrl (2021). \u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406: \u53d1\u7535\u8fd0\u884c\u6210\u672c\u5206\u6790\u3001\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u76d1\u6d4b\u3001 \u5e02\u573a\u529b\u7b5b\u9009\u548c\u51cf\u7f13. \u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/rap-spot-market-risk-management-final\/\">https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/rap-spot-market-risk-management-final\/<\/a> \u4ee5\u53ca Max Dupuy, \u9ad8\u9a70(2022) \u5bf9\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u672c\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff1a\u56fd\u9645\u89c6\u91ce. \u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/rap-suggestions-to-spot-market-rule\/\">https:\/\/www.raponline.org\/knowledge-center\/rap-suggestions-to-spot-market-rule\/<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[13] \u540c[11]. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>[14] \u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u6539\u59d4. (2024). \u7535\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u76d1\u7ba1\u529e\u6cd5 [2024\u5e74\u7b2c18\u53f7\u4ee4]. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndrc.gov.cn\/xxgk\/zcfb\/fzggwl\/202405\/t20240506_1366319.html\">https:\/\/www.ndrc.gov.cn\/xxgk\/zcfb\/fzggwl\/202405\/t20240506_1366319.html<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u201c\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93\u201d\u4e0e\u300a\u7535\u8054\u65b0\u5a92\u300b\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u3002 \u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u6bb5\u5a67\u7433, Max Dupuy (\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1928,"template":"","emt-news-type":[],"class_list":["post-1898","emt-news","type-emt-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u4ece\u9650\u5236\u5230\u673a\u9047\uff1a\u5e02\u573a\u76d1\u7ba1\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u91ca\u653e\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u4e4b\u9053 - 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