{"id":2078,"date":"2026-03-24T20:49:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T20:49:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/?post_type=emt-research&#038;p=2078"},"modified":"2026-03-30T21:30:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T21:30:26","slug":"resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh","status":"publish","type":"emt-research","link":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/","title":{"rendered":"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\uff08\u6db5\u76d6\u6caa\u3001\u82cf\u3001\u6d59\u3001\u7696\u3001\u95fd\uff09\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u8dc3\u5ea6\u6700\u9ad8\u3001\u7535\u529b\u8d1f\u8377\u6700\u4e3a\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3002\u5728\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u9891\u53d1\u4e0e\u7535\u529b\u9700\u6c42\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u589e\u957f\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u4fdd\u969c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\uff08Resource Adequacy, RA\uff09\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u517c\u987e\u6210\u672c\u6548\u76ca\u4e0e\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f6c\u578b\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u8bfe\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b66\u5723\u5730\u4e9a\u54e5\u5206\u6821\u3001\u777f\u535a\u80fd\u6e90\u667a\u5e93\uff08RAP\uff09\u3001\u5353\u5c14\u5fb7\u73af\u5883\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53ca\u590d\u65e6\u5927\u5b66\u5434\u529b\u6ce2\u6559\u6388\u56e2\u961f\u7b49\u591a\u5bb6\u673a\u6784\u8054\u5408\u64b0\u5199\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4f18\u5316\u533a\u57df\u8d44\u6e90\u7edf\u7b79\u8c03\u5ea6\u548c\u52a0\u5f3a\u50a8\u80fd\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94\u7b49\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u548c\u8c03\u7528\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u63d0\u5347\u7535\u7f51\u4f9b\u7535\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u7f13\u5bf9\u65b0\u5efa\u7164\u7535\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u901a\u8fc7\u6784\u5efa\u5c0f\u65f6\u7ea7\u7684\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\uff08UCED\uff09\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5bf92030\u5e74\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5145\u88d5\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7ec4\u5408\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u8fd0\u884c\u72b6\u51b5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4eff\u771f\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u63a2\u5bfb\u4fdd\u969c\u533a\u57df\u7535\u529b\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>\u6a21\u62df\u6846\u67b6\u4e0e\u60c5\u666f\u8bbe\u5b9a<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u91c7\u7528\u57fa\u4e8e\u7701\u7ea7\u8282\u70b9\u7684\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5bf92030\u5e74\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\u7684\u590f\u5b63\u8fd0\u884c\u60c5\u51b5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5c0f\u65f6\u7ea7\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u7684\u4eff\u771f\u3002<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7814\u7a76\u56f4\u7ed5\u56db\u9879\u5145\u88d5\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u4e8616\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e0d\u540c\u6cbb\u7406\u8def\u5f84\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><strong>\u8de8\u7701\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6<\/strong>\uff1a<\/strong>\u5bf9\u6bd4\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u5408\u540c\u7684\u8de8\u7701\u8de8\u533a\u521a\u6027\u8c03\u5ea6\u4e0e\u57fa\u4e8e\u533a\u57df\u6210\u672c\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94<\/strong>\uff1a\u8bc4\u4f30\u66f4\u9ad8\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7\u8c03\u8282\u6f5c\u529b\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u50a8\u80fd<\/strong>\uff1a\u5728\u57fa\u51c6\u50a8\u80fd\u89c4\u6a21\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u65b0\u578b\u50a8\u80fd\u5bb9\u91cf\u6269\u5f20\u540e\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u8868\u73b0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a<\/strong>\uff1a\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7ef4\u63012025\u5e74\u5b58\u91cf\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0e\u5b8c\u6210\u6240\u6709\u5728\u5efa\u53ca\u6838\u51c6\u7164\u7535\u9879\u76ee\u540e\u7684\u5dee\u5f02<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e3a\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0d\u540c\u8def\u5f84\u5728\u6781\u7aef\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u6a21\u62df\u98ce\u5149\u5927\u5e45\u51cf\u4ea7\u7684\u201c\u6c14\u8c61\u538b\u529b\u201d\u4e0e\u8d1f\u8377\u5cf0\u503c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u8d1f\u8377\u538b\u529b\u201d\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u517c\u6709\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u6848\u4e0e\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5728\u8bc4\u4f30\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6027\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u591a\u91cd\u538b\u529b\u4ea4\u7ec7\u4e0b\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong>\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u62a5\u544a\u6a21\u62df\u4e862030\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u4e0d\u540c\u538b\u529b\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u6838\u5fc3\u7ed3\u8bba\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u673a\u5236\u4f18\u5316\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5176\u4f59\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. <strong><strong>\u533a\u57df\u8d44\u6e90\u7edf\u7b79\u8c03\u5ea6\u662f\u4fdd\u969c\u4f9b\u7535\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u624b\u6bb5<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6a21\u62df\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8de8\u7701\u8de8\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\u5bf9\u964d\u4f4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u7f3a\u4f9b\u7535\u91cf\uff08NSE\uff09\u7684\u8fb9\u9645\u8d21\u732e\u6700\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6253\u7834\u7701\u95f4\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u521a\u6027\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u5728\u5168\u533a\u57df\u5185\u5b9e\u73b0\u201c\u4f59\u7f3a\u4e92\u6d4e\u201d\u4e0e\u52a8\u6001\u4f18\u5316\u914d\u7f6e\uff0c\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\u5728\u4e0d\u589e\u52a0\u989d\u5916\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u6709\u6548\u5316\u89e3\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e0b\u7684\u7535\u529b\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u73b0\u884c\u7684\u521a\u6027\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u673a\u5236\u5728\u5e94\u5bf9\u7a81\u53d1\u6027\u8d1f\u8377\u5c16\u5cf0\u65f6\uff0c\u8c03\u8282\u6f5c\u529b\u660e\u663e\u53d7\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fig6_policy_icons_chart_\u4e2d\u6587\u7248_\u4e2d\u6587\u60c5\u5883-scaled.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2070\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u56fe6. \u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u538b\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0b\uff0c\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\uff08ECG\uff09\u7684\u672a\u4f9b\u7535\u91cf\u5360\u6bd4\uff08NSE\uff0c\u5360\u603b\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u67f1\u72b6\u56fe\uff09\u53ca\u6700\u5927\u672a\u4f9b\u7535\u91cf\uff08\u5404\u65f6\u6bb5\u5cf0\u503cNSE\uff0c\u6298\u7ebf\u56fe\uff09\u3002\u8868\u683c\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\uff08RA\uff09\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong>2. \u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u8d44\u6e90\u5bf9\u65b0\u5efa\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u5177\u6709\u663e\u8457\u66ff\u4ee3\u6548\u5e94<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u7ef4\u63012025\u5e74\u5b58\u91cf\u7164\u7535\u4e0e\u63a8\u8fdb\u5168\u90e8\u62df\u5728\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u4e24\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5f3a\u5316\u533a\u57df\u8c03\u5ea6\u534f\u540c\u5e76\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u90e8\u7f72\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\u5728\u4e0d\u65b0\u589e\u7164\u7535\u88c5\u673a\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u6ee1\u8db32030\u5e74\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u8981\u6c42\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u5bf9\uff0c\u76f2\u76ee\u6269\u5efa\u7164\u7535\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f1a\u5927\u5e45\u62ac\u9ad8\u7cfb\u7edf\u6574\u4f53\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5176\u56fa\u6709\u7684\u7269\u7406\u8c03\u8282\u7279\u6027\u8fd8\u53ef\u80fd\u6324\u5360\u5176\u4ed6\u672c\u5730\u8c03\u8282\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u8fd0\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e0a\u6d77\u3001\u5b89\u5fbd\u7b49\u5730\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u80fd\u6e90\u5f03\u7535\u98ce\u9669\u4e0d\u964d\u53cd\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fig8_curtailment_rate_heatmap_\u4e2d\u6587\u7248_\u4e2d\u6587\u60c5\u5883\u540d.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2079\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u56fe8. \u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7cfb\u7edf\u538b\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\uff0c\u5404\u7c7b\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\uff08RA\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u7ec4\u5408\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u5404\u7701\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\uff08VRE\uff09\u5f03\u7535\u7387\uff08%\uff09\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong>3. \u50a8\u80fd\u4e0e\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94\u662f\u5e73\u6291\u201c\u9e2d\u5b50\u66f2\u7ebf\u201d\u7684\u5173\u952e\u624b\u6bb5<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u53d7\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5149\u4f0f\u63a5\u5165\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c2030\u5e74\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\u51c0\u8d1f\u8377\u5c06\u5448\u73b0\u663e\u8457\u7684\u201c\u9e2d\u5b50\u66f2\u7ebf\u201d\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u6a21\u62df\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u5149\u4f0f\u51fa\u529b\u9510\u51cf\u4e0e\u508d\u665a\u8d1f\u8377\u6500\u5347\u91cd\u5408\u7684\u5173\u952e\u7a97\u53e3\u671f\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u91ca\u653e\u50a8\u80fd\u5bb9\u91cf\u5e76\u6316\u6398\u8d1f\u8377\u4fa7\u54cd\u5e94\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u5176\u524a\u5cf0\u6548\u679c\u53ca\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u51fa\u529b\u7684\u5e73\u7a33\u652f\u6491\u4f5c\u7528\u5747\u4f18\u4e8e\u589e\u5efa\u7164\u7535\uff0c\u662f\u4fdd\u969c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e73\u8861\u3001\u63d0\u5347\u6d88\u7eb3\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u6709\u6548\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong>\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae\uff1a\u6784\u5efa\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u900f\u660e\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u6846\u67b6<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u51fa\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5173\u952e\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae\uff1a<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5efa\u7acb\u900f\u660e\u3001\u5e38\u6001\u5316\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u6eda\u52a8\u5206\u6790\u4f53\u7cfb<\/strong>\u3002\u5efa\u8bae\u53d1\u6539\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u95e8\u53d1\u5e03\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u8bc4\u4f30\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5e94\u540c\u6b65\u5efa\u7acb\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u516c\u6b63\u7684\u5bb9\u91cf\u8ba4\u8bc1\uff08Capacity Accreditation\uff09\u673a\u5236\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8bc4\u4f30\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u9488\u5bf9\u50a8\u80fd\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u54cd\u5e94\u53ca\u5404\u7c7b\u8c03\u8282\u6027\u8d44\u6e90\u5728\u6781\u7aef\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u8d21\u732e\u8fdb\u884c\u51c6\u786e\u91cf\u5316\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u63a8\u8fdb\u534e\u4e1c\u533a\u57df\u7535\u529b\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u8fd0\u8425<\/strong>\u3002\u5b8c\u5584\u7701\u95f4\u4e0e\u7701\u5185\u5e02\u573a\u6e05\u7b97\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u8854\u63a5\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5168\u533a\u57df\u5185\u7684\u8054\u5408\u6e05\u7b97\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6d88\u9664\u7701\u95f4\u58c1\u5792\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u9519\u914d\u3002\u5e94\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u7701\u95f4\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u8dc3\u5ea6\u4e0e\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u63a2\u7d22\u901a\u8fc7\u9884\u7559\u8de8\u7701\u8de8\u533a\u8f93\u7535\u901a\u9053\u5bb9\u91cf\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e3a\u73b0\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u63d0\u4f9b\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u7269\u7406\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u5408\u7406\u653e\u5bbd\u5e02\u573a\u9650\u4ef7\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6709\u6548\u7684\u7a00\u7f3a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6fc0\u52b1\u5404\u7c7b\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u8d44\u6e90\u81ea\u53d1\u53c2\u4e0e\u8de8\u7701\u8d44\u6e90\u4e92\u6d4e\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6df1\u5316\u7164\u7535\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4e0e\u5bb9\u91cf\u8865\u507f\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769<\/strong>\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5e94\u52a0\u5feb\u7164\u7535\u4e0a\u7f51\u7535\u4ef7\u7684\u5168\u9762\u653e\u5f00\uff0c\u9010\u6e10\u53d6\u6d88\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u5408\u540c\u7b7e\u7ea6\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u786c\u6027\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u884c\u653f\u6027\u5e72\u9884\u53d8\u76f8\u652f\u6301\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u7164\u7535\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u73b0\u884c\u7684\u7164\u7535\u5bb9\u91cf\u7535\u4ef7\u5e94\u52a0\u901f\u8f6c\u5411\u6280\u672f\u4e2d\u6027\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u5bb9\u91cf\u91c7\u8d2d\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u8bc4\u4f30\u786e\u5b9a\u91c7\u8d2d\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u5e76\u5411\u6240\u6709\u5177\u5907\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u8d21\u732e\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u8d44\u6e90\u5e73\u7b49\u5f00\u653e\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5b8c\u5584\u865a\u62df\u7535\u5382\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6fc0\u52b1\u4e0e\u591a\u91cd\u4ef7\u503c\u8865\u507f\u673a\u5236<\/strong>\u3002\u865a\u62df\u7535\u5382\u5e94\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4ec5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u884c\u653f\u8c03\u8282\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u5e94\u6df1\u5316\u96f6\u552e\u4fa7\u5206\u65f6\u7535\u4ef7\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7cfb\u7edf\u5b9e\u9645\u8fd0\u884c\u6210\u672c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5e94\u6784\u5efa\u591a\u91cd\u4ef7\u503c\u8865\u507f\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8d4b\u4e88\u865a\u62df\u7535\u5382\u53c2\u4e0e\u7535\u80fd\u91cf\u3001\u5bb9\u91cf\u3001\u8f85\u52a9\u670d\u52a1\u7b49\u591a\u5143\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5e73\u7b49\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e76\u6839\u636e\u5176\u5b9e\u9645\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u8868\u73b0\u6838\u5b9a\u5bb9\u91cf\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7406\u987a\u7535\u6c60\u50a8\u80fd\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u6fc0\u52b1\u6846\u67b6<\/strong>\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u53d6\u6d88\u201c\u5f3a\u5236\u914d\u50a8\u201d\u7684\u5927\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e94\u8f6c\u5411\u57fa\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u7cbe\u51c6\u5e03\u63a7\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5e94\u5b8c\u5584\u533a\u57df\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5b9a\u4f4d\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5f15\u5bfc\u50a8\u80fd\u6295\u8d44\u6d41\u5411\u7535\u7f51\u8584\u5f31\u73af\u8282\u4ee5\u7f13\u89e3\u963b\u585e\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u5f03\u7535\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5e94\u63a8\u52a8\u96f6\u552e\u7aef\u7531\u9759\u6001\u5206\u65f6\u7535\u4ef7\u5411\u5b9e\u65f6\u7535\u4ef7\uff08RTP\uff09\u6216\u5c16\u5cf0\u7535\u4ef7\uff08CPP\uff09\u6f14\u8fdb\uff0c\u6fc0\u52b1\u7528\u6237\u4fa7\u50a8\u80fd\u4e3b\u52a8\u8c03\u5cf0\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5e94\u7a33\u5b9a\u5bb9\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u65b0\u578b\u50a8\u80fd\u5728\u5bb9\u91cf\u4fdd\u969c\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4e0e\u5e38\u89c4\u7535\u6e90\u540c\u7b49\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6743\u4e0e\u4ef7\u503c\u4f53\u73b0\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u7b80\u62a5\u57fa\u4e8e\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\uff08UCED\uff09\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5bf9\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\uff08ECG\uff092030\u5e74\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u7ec4\u5408\u53ca\u538b\u529b\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u8868\u73b0\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":2101,"template":"","emt-research-type":[124],"emt-research-area":[126],"emt-keyword":[],"class_list":["post-2078","emt-research","type-emt-research","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","emt-research-type-124","emt-research-area-resource-adequacy-zh-hans"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c - Electricity Market Tracker<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c - Electricity Market Tracker\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u672c\u7b80\u62a5\u57fa\u4e8e\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\uff08UCED\uff09\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5bf9\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\uff08ECG\uff092030\u5e74\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u7ec4\u5408\u53ca\u538b\u529b\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u8868\u73b0\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Electricity Market Tracker\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-30T21:30:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1702\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c - Electricity Market Tracker\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-24T20:49:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-30T21:30:26+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1702},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/research\\\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/zh-hans\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/\",\"name\":\"Electricity Market Tracker\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Electricity Market Tracker\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/10\\\/logo-1.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/10\\\/logo-1.svg\",\"width\":1,\"height\":1,\"caption\":\"Electricity Market Tracker\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c - Electricity Market Tracker","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c - Electricity Market Tracker","og_description":"\u672c\u7b80\u62a5\u57fa\u4e8e\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8c03\u5ea6\uff08UCED\uff09\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5bf9\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f51\uff08ECG\uff092030\u5e74\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u7ec4\u5408\u53ca\u538b\u529b\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u8868\u73b0\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002","og_url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/","og_site_name":"Electricity Market Tracker","article_modified_time":"2026-03-30T21:30:26+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1702,"url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4":"1 \u5206"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/","url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/","name":"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c - Electricity Market Tracker","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg","datePublished":"2026-03-24T20:49:13+00:00","dateModified":"2026-03-30T21:30:26+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"zh-Hans","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DSC_8466-scaled.jpg","width":2560,"height":1702},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/research\/resource-adequacy-assessment-for-the-east-china-grid-policy-interventions-and-contingent-scenarios-for-2030-zh\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"\u534e\u4e1c\u7535\u7f512030\u8d44\u6e90\u5145\u8db3\u6027\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u4ee5\u673a\u5236\u6539\u9769\u9a71\u52a8\u7535\u529b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u53ef\u9760\u8fd0\u884c"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/#website","url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/","name":"Electricity Market Tracker","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-Hans"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/#organization","name":"Electricity Market Tracker","url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/logo-1.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/logo-1.svg","width":1,"height":1,"caption":"Electricity Market Tracker"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/emt-research\/2078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/emt-research"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/emt-research"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"emt-research-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/emt-research-type?post=2078"},{"taxonomy":"emt-research-area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/emt-research-area?post=2078"},{"taxonomy":"emt-keyword","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/emtracker.sdsc.edu\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/emt-keyword?post=2078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}